Pre-tourney Rankings
East Tennessee St.
Atlantic Sun
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#251
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#240
Pace75.8#32
Improvement+0.6#153

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#213
Improvement+2.8#46

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#256
Improvement-2.1#286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 179   @ Charlotte L 75-80 26%     0 - 1 -3.2 -6.1 +3.7
  Nov 12, 2013 184   Morehead St. L 63-71 47%     0 - 2 -12.0 -11.2 -0.8
  Nov 16, 2013 181   @ Western Kentucky L 50-57 26%     0 - 3 -5.2 -23.9 +19.3
  Nov 19, 2013 249   Winthrop L 66-76 60%     0 - 4 -17.5 -12.1 -5.3
  Nov 21, 2013 319   Samford W 89-75 81%     1 - 4 +0.1 +6.8 -6.7
  Nov 23, 2013 83   Stephen F. Austin W 66-58 22%     2 - 4 +11.5 -2.0 +14.0
  Nov 27, 2013 275   @ Tennessee Tech L 83-98 45%     2 - 5 -18.4 +4.6 -22.2
  Nov 30, 2013 232   Marshall W 88-78 58%     3 - 5 +3.1 +4.6 -2.5
  Dec 04, 2013 292   @ Austin Peay W 80-74 54%     4 - 5 +0.3 -5.4 +5.0
  Dec 07, 2013 101   @ Georgia Tech L 57-87 13%     4 - 6 -22.8 -15.4 -4.9
  Dec 21, 2013 292   Austin Peay W 84-79 73%     5 - 6 -6.3 -3.2 -3.6
  Dec 29, 2013 160   Valparaiso W 73-62 41%     6 - 6 +8.6 -0.8 +9.3
  Jan 04, 2014 339   @ Kennesaw St. W 71-55 73%     7 - 6 1 - 0 +4.9 -0.8 +6.7
  Jan 06, 2014 102   @ Mercer L 63-73 13%     7 - 7 1 - 1 -2.9 -2.7 -0.7
  Jan 09, 2014 272   Lipscomb L 80-82 65%     7 - 8 1 - 2 -10.8 +0.2 -10.9
  Jan 11, 2014 303   Northern Kentucky W 74-65 76%     8 - 8 2 - 2 -3.1 -4.5 +1.9
  Jan 16, 2014 337   @ Stetson L 58-64 72%     8 - 9 2 - 3 -16.7 -15.0 -2.2
  Jan 18, 2014 189   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 62-90 28%     8 - 10 2 - 4 -26.6 -12.4 -12.3
  Jan 23, 2014 269   North Florida W 99-93 65%     9 - 10 3 - 4 -2.6 +11.7 -14.9
  Jan 25, 2014 308   Jacksonville W 76-75 77%     10 - 10 4 - 4 -11.4 -9.1 -2.3
  Jan 31, 2014 102   Mercer L 77-90 27%     10 - 11 4 - 5 -11.4 +8.7 -20.8
  Feb 02, 2014 339   Kennesaw St. W 86-73 87%     11 - 11 5 - 5 -3.7 +3.6 -7.8
  Feb 06, 2014 303   @ Northern Kentucky W 64-50 57%     12 - 11 6 - 5 +7.5 -5.4 +15.0
  Feb 08, 2014 272   @ Lipscomb W 96-88 44%     13 - 11 7 - 5 +4.8 +13.6 -9.3
  Feb 10, 2014 173   South Carolina Upstate L 63-75 44%     13 - 12 7 - 6 -15.3 -18.7 +4.7
  Feb 13, 2014 189   Florida Gulf Coast W 89-81 48%     14 - 12 8 - 6 +3.8 +3.4 -0.7
  Feb 15, 2014 337   Stetson W 93-66 86%     15 - 12 9 - 6 +10.7 +16.3 -4.4
  Feb 20, 2014 308   @ Jacksonville L 86-91 58%     15 - 13 9 - 7 -11.8 +6.8 -18.7
  Feb 22, 2014 269   @ North Florida W 88-85 43%     16 - 13 10 - 7 -0.1 +7.8 -8.1
  Feb 28, 2014 173   @ South Carolina Upstate L 73-79 25%     16 - 14 10 - 8 -3.7 -4.2 +0.9
  Mar 04, 2014 272   Lipscomb W 89-88 2OT 65%     17 - 14 -7.8 -11.1 +3.0
  Mar 06, 2014 189   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 64-69 28%     17 - 15 -3.6 -10.5 +7.3
Projected Record 17.0 - 15.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%